Princess Chanty
2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 84
Churchill Downs · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -23.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |