6
Battle Warrior
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |