1
Ray Of Lov
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 83
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
77%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 07/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |