4
Sharon's Prince
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 84
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Penn National | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 14/11/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 28/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |