Close The Gate
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 96
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 5 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 2.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-03-12 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |