2
Richeztoo
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 87
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 14/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 78% | -0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 43% | -0.49 |