3
Rocketeer
5yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 01/11/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 26/03/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |