9

Calling On Heaven

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength22%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 27/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS27/10C6C6 @ Keeneland 22/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 96 par22/10C6OR 96C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 10/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 85 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/11/2025 · OR 85 par10/11C6OR 85C9 @ Fair Grounds 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark22/02/2026 · OR 78 par22/02C9OR 78C9 @ Turfway Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 6f 125 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 76 par21/03C9OR 76C9 @ Delaware Park 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 6f 124 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 78 par10/09C9OR 78projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Delaware Park?1st3rd2
2026-03-21Turfway Park?5th7th2
2026-02-22Fair Grounds?2nd4th2
2025-11-10Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-22Keeneland?9th8th+1
2024-10-27Churchill Downs?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1022/1010/1122/0221/0310/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20243rd14/126%82%+0.56
22/10/20259th3/184%27%-0.57
10/11/20253rd5/493%50%-0.43
22/02/20262nd10/1195%83%-0.12
21/03/20265th7/491%33%-0.57
10/09/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02