7
Master Nibbles
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |