3
Metatron
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2024-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 06/06/2024 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 16/11/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 21/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |