5

My Pal Bill

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 69

Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Fas 12412/04C9C9 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11810/05C9C6 @ Delaware Park 28/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 60 · 1m70y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 60 par28/05C6OR 60C9 @ Delaware Park 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 57 · 1m110y Gd 118 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 57 par18/06C9OR 57C9 @ Colonial Downs 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 64 par18/07C9OR 64C9 @ Colonial Downs 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 73 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 73 par9/08C9OR 73C9 @ Delaware Park 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 1m 120 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 69 par3/09C9OR 69projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Delaware Park?1st3rd2
2026-08-09Colonial Downs?6th8th2
2026-07-18Colonial Downs?4th6th2
2026-06-18Delaware Park?6th8th2
2026-05-28Delaware Park?6th5th+1
2026-05-10Laurel Park?8th10th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0418/063/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength49%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/202611th12/137%9%-0.28
10/05/20268th20/10%13%+0.13
28/05/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
18/06/20266th5/287%17%-0.70
18/07/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
09/08/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
03/09/20261st7/282%100%+0.18