St Pete's Passion
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 3 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-07-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 12th | 14th | −2 |
| 2025-06-12 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-05-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 17/10/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 25% | -0.66 |
| 22/05/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 12/06/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |