2

Buckin' Right

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 23/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 67 · 6f 126 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 67 par23/01C8OR 67C8 @ Laurel Park 15/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 67 · 6f 126 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Laurel Park 08/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 65 · 5f110y 126 · beat its mark08/03/2026 · OR 65 par8/03C8OR 65C8 @ Laurel Park 11/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 126 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 65 parC8 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 66 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 66 par25/04C8OR 66C8 @ Laurel Park 05/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 64 parC7 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 65 · 6f 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 65 par25/06C7OR 65C7 @ Delaware Park 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 71 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 75 · 1m Fm 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 75 par14/08C8OR 75projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Colonial Downs?10th10th0
2026-08-06Delaware Park?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-25Delaware Park?4th3rd+1
2026-06-05Laurel Park?1st1st0
2026-04-25Laurel Park?9th9th0
2026-04-11Laurel Park?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0111/0425/0614/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/20263rd5/287%80%-0.07
15/02/20265th7/491%43%-0.48
08/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
11/04/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
25/04/20269th25/10%11%+0.11
05/06/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
25/06/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
06/08/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
14/08/202610th20/10%0%0.00