4
C C Girl
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 71
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 13/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |