Classic Ballad
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 81
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 25/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |