Miti Fast Flower
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 75
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |