5

Patient Fi

4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66

Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Penn National 24/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 56 · 1m Yie 122 · beat its mark24/07/2025 · OR 56 par24/07C9OR 56C8 @ Monmouth Park 10/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m 117 · below its mark10/08/2025 · OR 64 par10/08C8OR 64C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 63 · 1m Fas 119 · below its mark17/09/2025 · OR 63 par17/09C8OR 63C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 06/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 68 par6/10C8OR 68C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 69 · 1m Gd 119 · below its mark04/01/2026 · OR 69 par4/01C8OR 69C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 66 · 1m110y Fas 119 · below its mark04/02/2026 · OR 66 par4/02C8OR 66C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 13/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 62 par13/03C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-13Tampa Bay Downs?11th11th0
2026-02-04Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0
2026-01-04Tampa Bay Downs?4th4th0
2025-10-06Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2025-09-17Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2025-08-10Monmouth Park?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/076/1013/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength72%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
10/08/202510th33/10%0%0.00
17/09/20253rd5/174%60%-0.14
06/10/20255th14/126%20%-0.06
04/01/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
04/02/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
13/03/202611th33/10%0%0.00