7
Winkiwinki
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-23 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |