Adios Buster
4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/09/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 06/10/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/11/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/06/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |