6
One Bid
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 77
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 04/04/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |