Power Wrench
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 82
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-02-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
| 2026-02-11 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 25/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 28/02/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |