7
Roscoe Pine
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 92
Delaware Park · Race 5 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength2%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 20/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 18/04/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |