3
Ada May
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-10-30 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/04/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 12/07/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 08/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |