5

Braquet

5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

98%

Place Prob

78%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Penn National 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 1m70y Slo 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 91 par6/03C6OR 91C6 @ Penn National 26/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 90 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Penn National 08/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 91 · 1m 120 · beat its mark08/04/2026 · OR 91 par8/04C8OR 91C6 @ Penn National 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 91 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 91 parC6 @ Penn National 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 88 par28/05C6OR 88C6 @ Penn National 13/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 3 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 92 parC7 @ Delaware Park 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 94 · 1m70y 121 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 94 par1/07C7OR 94C7 @ Penn National 13/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 90 · 1m Fas 121 · below its mark13/08/2026 · OR 90 parC6 @ Penn National 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 85 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 85 par2/09C6OR 85projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Penn National?2nd1st+1
2026-08-13Penn National?2nd2nd0
2026-07-01Delaware Park?3rd3rd0
2026-06-13Penn National?2nd1st+1
2026-05-28Penn National?2nd1st+1
2026-05-09Penn National?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/039/051/072/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength87%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20262nd11/271%75%+0.04
26/03/20264th7/163%25%-0.38
08/04/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
09/05/20262nd9/153%75%+0.22
28/05/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
13/06/20262nd9/488%50%-0.38
01/07/20263rd3/184%60%-0.24
13/08/20262nd4/179%75%-0.04
02/09/20262nd12/137%80%+0.43