2
Pink Rose
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 89
Delaware Park · Race 6 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-21 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 16/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 28/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |