Forest Acclamation

6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength4%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.2

Today:

Class gap: -0.7

Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-08	Delaware Park	?	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-06-18	Delaware Park	?	6th	7th	−1	2.8
2026-06-03	Delaware Park	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-05-21	Delaware Park	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-05-02	Turf Paradise	?	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-04-13	Turf Paradise	?	4th	5th	−1	4.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%

▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price

Trend▲

Strength24%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
07/03/2026	5th	14/1	26%	50%	+0.24
23/03/2026	9th	13/2	66%	11%	-0.55
31/03/2026	5th	40/1	0%	33%	+0.33
13/04/2026	4th	11/2	71%	25%	-0.46
02/05/2026	7th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00
21/05/2026	7th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
03/06/2026	9th	50/1	0%	11%	+0.11
18/06/2026	6th	25/1	0%	29%	+0.29
08/07/2026	7th	20/1	0%	25%	+0.25