IvyArcIvyArc
1

Racey Ruby

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 86

Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.4 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Monmouth Park 01/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 32 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark01/09/2024 · OR 32 par1/09C9OR 32C7 @ Delaware Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 83 · 1m70y Fm 122 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 83 par26/07C7OR 83C5 @ Penn National 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 75 par29/05C5OR 75C5 @ Penn National 19/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 80 par19/06C5OR 80C5 @ Penn National 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 86 par26/08C5OR 86projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Penn National?2nd0th+2
2026-06-19Penn National?1st-1th+2
2026-05-29Penn National?3rd1st+2
2025-07-26Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2024-09-01Monmouth Park?2nd4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0926/0729/0519/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20242nd3/184%80%-0.04
26/07/20252nd16/116%86%+0.70
29/05/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
19/06/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
26/08/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01