4
Rose Of Sharon
4yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 62
Delaware Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-26 | Monmouth Park | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-01-03 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2024-12-11 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2024-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2024 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 18/08/2024 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 07/09/2024 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 28/09/2024 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 25/10/2024 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 30% | -0.56 |
| 11/12/2024 | 4th | 1/1 | 95% | 40% | -0.55 |
| 03/01/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 28/05/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/07/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |