5
Ivey My Love
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 60
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |