4
Molly The Cat
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 63
Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
69%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 05/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |