2

Sassy Sangria

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 63

Delaware Park · Race 8 - Maiden Claiming · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength73%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f 113 · HIGHER CLASS19/04C6C6 @ Delaware Park 13/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/05/2026 · OR 62 par13/05C6OR 62C6 @ Delaware Park 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 77 · 1m70y Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 77 par27/05C6OR 77C6 @ Delaware Park 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 60 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 60 par10/06C6OR 60C9 @ Delaware Park 14/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 61 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 61 par14/08C9OR 61projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Delaware Park?5th5th0
2026-06-10Delaware Park?5th2nd+3
2026-05-27Delaware Park?6th3rd+3
2026-05-13Delaware Park?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0413/0527/0510/0614/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength1%

Delivery trend -18.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/20265th16/116%20%+0.04
13/05/20262nd15/261%80%+0.19
27/05/20266th9/153%0%-0.53
10/06/20265th12/137%0%-0.37
14/08/20265th11/893%33%-0.59