Boogie Bode
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 75
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-19 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/05/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/05/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 25/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |