5

Electric Charge

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 62

Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 02/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 79 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 79 par2/10C8OR 79C8 @ Fairmount Park 25/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 1m70y Fas 124 · beat its mark25/10/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Hawthorne 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 77 par26/04C8OR 77C8 @ Hawthorne 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Hawthorne 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 78 par4/06C8OR 78C8 @ Hawthorne 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 77 · 1m70y Gd 123 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 77 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 14/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m70y Fas 126 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 73 par14/07C8OR 73C8 @ Fairmount Park 11/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 70 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark11/08/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 25/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 64 · 1m70y 126 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 64 par25/08C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2026-08-11Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-07-14Fairmount Park?7th7th0
2026-06-14Hawthorne?7th7th0
2026-06-04Hawthorne?4th4th0
2026-05-10Hawthorne?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1010/0514/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20253rd11/486%60%-0.26
25/10/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
26/04/20262nd11/486%75%-0.11
10/05/20262nd9/488%75%-0.13
04/06/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
14/06/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
14/07/20267th13/266%0%-0.66
11/08/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
25/08/20266th40/10%55%+0.55