Major Contender
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sunland Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Sunland Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 16/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 04/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 36% | -0.29 |