3
Tapinyourbluejeans
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 05/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 73% | -0.06 |