3
Atraxa
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 29
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Hawthorne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 13/09/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 20% | -0.72 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 30/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |