8

La Rose Blanche

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 38

Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength69%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS27/09C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 50 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 50 par18/10C6OR 50C9 @ Fairmount Park 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 37 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 37 par9/06C9OR 37C9 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 36 · 6f 120 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 36 par18/07C9OR 36C9 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 35 · 5f110y 120 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 35 par18/08C9OR 35projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-06-09Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-10-18Fairmount Park?8th5th+3
2025-09-27Fairmount Park?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0918/109/0618/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +12.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20255th14/126%50%+0.24
18/10/20258th8/158%0%-0.58
09/06/20266th20/10%17%+0.17
18/07/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
18/08/20264th16/116%40%+0.24