2
Whitelick Road
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 39
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength86%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 26/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 33% | -0.60 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 18/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |