1
Cutlass King
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 72
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/5
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength82%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |