6
Blaze Beauty
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 63
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 07/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 02/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |