Ornery Angel
9yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 66
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 31/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |