9
Stagflation
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 66
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-22 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 1st | 3/10 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 22/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 21/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 25/08/2026 | 6th | 1/1 | 95% | 38% | -0.57 |