Summer Of Mischief
7yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 80
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/5
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 06/05/2025 | 4th | 1/2 | 97% | 25% | -0.72 |
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 14/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 1/2 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |