4
Booming
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 06/05/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 05/06/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 08/08/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 14/12/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 45% | -0.15 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |