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7

City Of God

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 90

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 29/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 79 · 1m110y Yie 122 · below its mark29/05/2025 · OR 79 par29/05C8OR 79C6 @ Fairmount Park 02/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 81 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2025 · OR 81 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 09/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 80 par9/09C6OR 80C6 @ Fairmount Park 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m70y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 79 parC8 @ Hawthorne 12/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m Fm 122 · below its mark12/10/2025 · OR 78 par12/10C8OR 78C7 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 79 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/10/2025 · OR 79 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 23/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 75 · 1m 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 75 par23/05C7OR 75C7 @ Hawthorne 18/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 78 parC7 @ Hawthorne 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 82 · 1m110y 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 82 par5/07C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Hawthorne?3rd2nd+1
2026-06-18Hawthorne?2nd1st+1
2026-05-23Fairmount Park?9th8th+1
2025-10-28Fairmount Park?6th5th+1
2025-10-12Hawthorne?6th6th0
2025-09-27Fairmount Park?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0527/0923/055/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength36%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20252nd13/266%83%+0.18
02/08/20252nd15/261%80%+0.19
09/09/20255th10/147%33%-0.14
27/09/20254th10/382%40%-0.42
12/10/20256th9/153%38%-0.15
28/10/20256th33/10%0%0.00
23/05/20269th25/10%0%0.00
18/06/20262nd8/158%67%+0.09
05/07/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13