3

Sound Of Victory

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength38%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Remington Park 14/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 1m110y 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/12/2025 · OR 95 par14/12C5OR 95C8 @ Oaklawn Park 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark26/12/2025 · OR 92 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 05/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 92 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/02/2026 · OR 92 par5/02C5OR 92C7 @ Oaklawn Park 19/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 92 · 1m Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 92 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 91 · 1m110y 121 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 91 par5/03C8OR 91C8 @ Oaklawn Park 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m 122 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Oaklawn Park 19/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 89 par19/04C7OR 89C6 @ Hawthorne 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 87 · 7f110y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 87 parC7 @ Hawthorne 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 89 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 89 par5/07C7OR 89projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-05Hawthorne?3rd2nd+1
2026-05-24Hawthorne?4th2nd+2
2026-04-19Oaklawn Park?5th4th+1
2026-03-21Oaklawn Park?4th4th0
2026-03-05Oaklawn Park?5th5th0
2026-02-19Oaklawn Park?8th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1219/0219/045/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
26/12/20254th3/184%63%-0.22
05/02/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
19/02/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
05/03/20265th13/266%50%-0.16
21/03/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
19/04/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
24/05/20264th5/174%0%-0.74
05/07/20263rd7/282%60%-0.22