7
Bikini Martini
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 79
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 28/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 04/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 22% | -0.54 |