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5

Hootie Hoot

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 58

Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 47 · 6f 118 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 47 par19/09C6OR 47C8 @ Fairmount Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 118 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 52 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 6f 120 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 56 par18/10C7OR 56C7 @ Fairmount Park 28/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 54 · 6f 120 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 54 parC7 @ Fairmount Park 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f Gd 124 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 57 par28/04C7OR 57C6 @ Fairmount Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 55 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 26/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 54 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 54 par26/05C6OR 54C6 @ Fairmount Park 18/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 57 · 6f 124 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 55 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 55 par1/09C8OR 55projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Fairmount Park?2nd4th−2
2026-08-18Fairmount Park?8th8th0
2026-05-26Fairmount Park?5th5th0
2026-05-05Fairmount Park?4th4th0
2026-04-28Fairmount Park?4th5th−1
2025-10-28Fairmount Park?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0928/1026/051/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength29%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20254th5/174%25%-0.49
04/10/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
18/10/20256th9/153%29%-0.24
28/10/20255th25/10%43%+0.43
28/04/20264th16/116%40%+0.24
05/05/20264th9/153%40%-0.13
26/05/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
18/08/20268th20/10%0%0.00
01/09/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36