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Vasariah's Image
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 27/08/2024 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 29/10/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/05/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 03/06/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 26/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |