3
Fight The Power
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Hawthorne | BHA77 | 1st | 4th | −2 |
| 2025-09-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2016-02-14 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2016-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2015 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 11/09/2015 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 27/09/2015 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 06/11/2015 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 14/02/2016 | 3rd | 15/1 | 21% | 75% | +0.54 |
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 11% | -0.77 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |